Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.004268 0.004492 0.004722 0.004976 0.005249 0.005534 0.005854
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.003832 0.004160 0.004512 0.004918 0.005375 0.005876 0.006468
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.003558 0.003943 0.004368 0.004873 0.005461 0.006127 0.006946
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003335 0.003757 0.004231 0.004808 0.005498 0.006302 0.007322
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003230 0.003691 0.004221 0.004879 0.005686 0.006652 0.007913
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003105 0.003591 0.004159 0.004880 0.005780 0.006884 0.008365
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002978 0.003481 0.004077 0.004845 0.005824 0.007049 0.008731
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002841 0.003350 0.003962 0.004761 0.005796 0.007115 0.008966
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002725 0.003241 0.003866 0.004695 0.005784 0.007197 0.009221
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002652 0.003179 0.003828 0.004698 0.005860 0.007394 0.009639
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002512 0.003029 0.003670 0.004539 0.005711 0.007279 0.009610
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002454 0.002982 0.003642 0.004547 0.005786 0.007471 0.010025
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002440 0.002989 0.003686 0.004654 0.006002 0.007872 0.010775
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002361 0.002911 0.003614 0.004601 0.005993 0.007952 0.011050
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002292 0.002843 0.003553 0.004560 0.005998 0.008050 0.011354
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002221 0.002769 0.003481 0.004501 0.005972 0.008101 0.011585
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002199 0.002761 0.003498 0.004566 0.006128 0.008427 0.012275
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002156 0.002722 0.003471 0.004566 0.006188 0.008610 0.012740
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002104 0.002669 0.003423 0.004535 0.006199 0.008715 0.013080
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002039 0.002597 0.003346 0.004458 0.006137 0.008703 0.013218
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001983 0.002536 0.003281 0.004397 0.006097 0.008724 0.013412
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001950 0.002506 0.003261 0.004400 0.006154 0.008902 0.013892
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001870 0.002409 0.003142 0.004254 0.005975 0.008686 0.013653